Every growth push loses money before it makes money. Set the monthly spend and the growth it buys, and see the month it pays for itself, and how deep the dip gets first.
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Net cash in month n = Sum of (New revenue x Profit margin) - Sum of Growth spend. Payback month = the first month net cash crosses back above zero
The payback month is when your growth spending has finally paid for itself, and the cash dip is how deep your account sinks on the way there. Growth works like planting: the seed money leaves in spring and the harvest lands months later. Each month, your growth spend goes out, the new revenue it buys earns your profit margin, and the running total tells you where you stand. The trap is funding the spend and forgetting to fund the dip. Plenty of owners can afford the monthly growth budget but not the deepest point of the hole, and they quit at the worst moment, after the spending and before the payoff. The next question a smart operator asks: does the deepest month of this dip fit inside my cash runway, with room to spare?
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Growth spend leaves your account before the new profit arrives, so every growth push digs a cash dip first. Each month your revenue compounds by the growth rate, the new revenue earns your margin, and the growth spend comes out of that. Payback is the month the running total crosses back above zero.
Add it up month by month. The spend goes out every month, and the new revenue it buys earns your margin as it compounds. The payback month is when the running total turns positive. Thin margins or slow growth push payback out fast, which is why the same spend works for one business and never pays back for another.
Enough to carry the deepest point of the dip, the stretch where spend has gone out but new profit has not caught up yet. Size the dip before you commit, and check it against your cash runway, not against your optimism.
For a while, yes. Growth costs cash before it returns cash. The two honest questions are how deep the dip gets and which month it crosses back above zero. If either number does not work for your cash position, the plan needs to change before the spending starts.
Built by Finalysis, the financial intelligence platform for owner operators.
This is a planning shape, not a forecast. It assumes the growth you buy shows up on schedule and keeps compounding, and real growth is lumpier than that. Use it to size the dip and the payback before you commit, then watch the real numbers. Nothing you type leaves your device.